Video: Arctic Domain Awareness Flight

An Air Station Kodiak HC-130 Hercules airplane crew conducts and Arctic Domain Awareness flight with scientists from NOAA and the University of Washington's Polar Science Center above the Arctic Circle in Alaska Tuesday, July 16, 2013. The crew deployed sensors to take air and water measurements and overflew the Coast Guard Cutter Polar Star. U.S. Coast Guard video by Petty Officer 1st Class Sara Mooers.

NOAA Predicts Drought, Flooding and Warm Weather For Spring

NOAA issued the three-month U.S. Spring Outlook, stating that odds favor above-average temperatures across much of the continental United States, including drought-stricken areas of Texas, the Southwest and the Great Plains. Spring promises little drought relief for most of these areas, as well as Florida, with below- average spring precipitation favored there. Meanwhile, river flooding is likely to be worse than last year across the country, with the most significant flood potential in North Dakota.

"This outlook reminds us of the climate diversity and weather extremes we experience in North America, where one state prepares for flooding while neighboring states are parched, with no drought relief in sight," said Laura Furgione, deputy director of NOAA's National Weather Service. "We produce this outlook to help communities prepare for what's likely to come in the next few months and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods. A Weather-Ready Nation hopes for the best, but prepares for the worst."

The U.S. Spring Outlook identifies the likelihood of spring flood risk and expectations for temperature, precipitation and drought. The outlook is based on a number of factors, including current conditions of snowpack, drought, soil moisture, streamflow, precipitation, Pacific Ocean temperatures and consensus among climate forecast models.

Spring Flood Risk

After a year of reprieve, the Red River of the North between eastern North Dakota and northwest Minnesota, and the Souris River in North Dakota have the potential for moderate and major flooding. Devils and Stump Lakes in northeast North Dakota have a 50 percent chance of rising approximately two feet, which would flood 20,000 acres of farmland and roadways.

The melting of late-season snow may cause minor to moderate flooding in the upper Mississippi River basin, including southern Wisconsin, northern Illinois and northern Missouri. The tributaries in the plains of the upper Missouri River basin, specifically along the Milk River in eastern Montana, the Big Sioux River in South Dakota and the Little Sioux River in Iowa may also see minor to moderate flooding. With significant frozen groundcover in these areas, spring flood risk is highly dependent on rainfall and the speed of the snowmelt.

Areas along the middle Mississippi, lower Missouri and Ohio River basins have already experienced minor flooding this year and the threat of minor flooding will continue through the spring. These basins include portions of Kansas, Missouri, Illinois, eastern Iowa, Indiana, Ohio, Kentucky and Tennessee. Minor flooding also is possible for the lower Mississippi River basin and in the Southeast, including portions of Arkansas, Alabama, Louisiana, Mississippi and Georgia.

Temperature and Precipitation Outlook

Above-normal temperatures this spring are most likely across most of the continental U.S. and northern Alaska. Below-normal temperatures are favored for the Pacific Northwest and extreme northern Great Plains. For precipitation, odds favor wetter-than-normal conditions in the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley regions. Drier-than-normal conditions are most likely in much of the West, the Rockies, parts of the Southwest, much of Texas, along the Gulf Coast and Florida. Hawaii has an enhanced chance of being cooler and drier than normal.

Drought Outlook

Fifty-one percent of the continental U.S.--primarily in the central and western regions--is in moderate to exceptional drought. Drought conditions are expected to persist, with new drought development, in California, the Southwest, the southern Rockies, Texas, and Florida. The outlook favors some improvement in the Midwest, the northern and central Great Plains, Georgia, the Carolinas, and northern Alaska.

"Weather can turn on a dime, so it's important to stay tuned to the daily weather forecast. Spring weather, such as tornadoes and flash floods, develop quickly and require preparation and vigilance," added Furgione. Get ready for spring weather threats - buy a NOAA Weather Radio, bookmark www.weather.gov to check your daily forecast, and visit FEMA's ready.gov website for preparation and safety information.

NOAA AT The Maine Fisherman’s Forum Today That It Will Attempt To Cover One Hundred Percent Of At-Sea Monitoring Costs For The Northeast Ground Fishery

WASHINGTON, D.C. –U.S. Senator Angus S. King, Jr. (I-ME) applauded an announcement by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) at the Maine Fisherman’s Forum today that it will attempt to cover one hundred percent of at-sea monitoring costs for the Northeast ground fishery during the upcoming fishing year, beginning this May. The at-sea monitoring program analyzes the fishing area as well as the catch and gear type in order to monitor sector quotas. NOAA had previously announced that such costs would be covered by the fishermen themselves while the New England Fishery Management Council had also imposed new rules that massively reduced catch limits.

 The announcement also follows a letter that was sent by Senator King and fellow members of the New England Congressional Delegation to John Bullard, the Northeast Regional Administrator for NOAA’s National Marine Fisheries Services, urging him to support actions to mitigate the impact of looming reductions to the projected allowable harvest of groundfish in New England.

 Senator King, who will be attending the Maine Fisherman’s Forum tomorrow, said:

 “This announcement is welcome news for Maine’s groundfish industry.  Maine’s fishermen are important to our state’s economy, landing five million pounds of groundfish valuing almost $5.8 million in Maine just last year. At the same time, they’ve also endured incredible hardship over the past few years, experiencing massive reductions in catch limits that threaten the industry’s future.  I’m pleased that NOAA will help to alleviate some of the financial burden placed on Maine’s groundfish industry, but make no mistake, there is still much work left to be done.”